A collection of news items of the day plus random musings on things I find interesting.

Wednesday, October 22, 2008

Polls, Polls, Polls

An AP national poll was just released calling the presidential race essentially a dead heat. It will be easy to start panicking as some news like this shows up. But while the race will likely tighten, this poll is an outlier.

If you really want to know where the polls stand, visit DemFromCT on dKos. She lists their tracking poll first, but always compares it with a cross-section of other polls. She also writes an entertaining "Abbreviated Pundit Round-up." Nate Silver (fivethirtyeight.com) wrote up a recommended tracking poll primer on top of his daily projections based on a data algorithm which give a nice snapshot. And Pollster.com is billed as the "poll of polls."

UPDATE: You know when Fox News says Obama is up 9 points, that AP is way off base.

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